Tuesday, June 21, 2011

Chinese Avionics Advances Ripple Throughout Asia


ISLAMABAD - China's avionics industry is closing the gap with other avionics producers, with benefits flowing to Pakistan and new challenges emerging for the U.S.
Chinese aircraft are helping Pakistan maintain conventional deterrence toward India as New Delhi pursues cutting-edge technology to revamp its airpower. As a result, said Usman Shabbir, of the Pakistan Military Consortium think tank, the new "JF-17 Block II [combat aircraft] may see a Chinese AESA [active electronically scanned array] radar along with an IRST [infrared search and track] sensor, and an even better ECM [electronic countermeasures] suite."
Wider advances by China's aviation industry would result in "greater use of composites to reduce the overall airframe weight" for the JF-17 Block II, and also a thrust vectoring control engine; though Shabbir conceded the latter "has never been officially confirmed."
Analyst Kaiser Tufail said an AESA radar is "the way to go," and that "all future [radar] acquisitions or retrofits would be AESA, whether mechanically scanned or phased-array type."
Tufail said the current JF-17 radar, a variant of which is fitted to the Chinese Chengdu J-10 combat jet, is an interim solution "because the [Pakistan Air Force] had been unable to find a radar vendor who could sell cutting-edge technology at an affordable price."
Tufail said Pakistan's acquisition of advanced Chinese avionics should not be seen through the prism of Indian programs, such as the Medium Multirole Combat Aircraft program. Rather, he said, it should be seen as Pakistan's effort to keep pace with modern weaponry.
And China benefits from its collaboration with Pakistan.
"Traditionally, the Chinese aviation industry has found an excellent test bed in the PAF, and their products have been, and can be, proven in ways that are not possible with [China's Air Force], due to limitations of comparative analysis in truly operational scenarios and with respect to Western equipment that PAF operates," he said.
As a result, a "Chinese AESA radar would, therefore, be a synergetic success in partnership with Pakistan," he said.
However, it is unknown whether the new JF-17 Block II radars are variants of those fitted to the improved J-10B. If that is the case, analyst and Chinese specialist Andrei Chang said the new radar is unlikely to be an AESA type.
"The phased-array radar testing on the J-10B is a passive model," he said.
Chang said he does not think the Chinese have developed "a useful AESA radar for the JF-17 and J-10B," but they could in the future.
"I know they are researching AESA radars, but it takes time," he said.
China's technological advances give potential adversaries cause for concern, Tufail said.
"As in many other fields like space and information technology, China is making a mark in major ways which impacts geostrategic and security issues," he said. "Technological developments like AESA radars would, thus, certainly have a bearing on the comfort levels of countries that have an adversarial relationship with China."
The potential threat posed by Chinese advances in avionics is an issue Carlo Kopp of the Air Power Australia think tank has tried to raise.
"Chinese technology is a mix of reverse-engineered Western and Russian designs, and some often very good indigenous ideas," he said. The danger this poses is clear.
"As the Chinese advance and proliferate these products, they are increasingly narrowing the range of environments in which Western air forces and navies can operate," Kopp said.
CHINESE DEFENSES
"Today, only the U.S. F-22A [stealth fighter] and B-2A [stealth bomber] can penetrate Chinese airspace with impunity," he said. "All other Western designs, including the intended F-35 [Joint Strike Fighter] and existing F/A-18E, would suffer prohibitive loss rates" to surface-to-air missiles, he said.
Kopp's opinion of the F-35 is perhaps surprising, but he said he believes China's investment in more maneuverable aircraft will expose severe weaknesses.
"The notion that having a good AESA [radar] can overcome kinematic performance limitations in a design is predicated on the idea that your missiles are 100 percent effective in long-range combat," he said. "The evidence shows otherwise for the AIM-120 AMRAAM."
The approach that says "let the missiles do the turning," rather than the aircraft, "is a mantra in the F-35 and F/A-18 camps," Kopp said. "Unfortunately, it is wishful thinking by folks promoting obsolete designs. The mathematics and physics of aerial combat do not support this proposition."
Therefore, the strategic impact of China's advances will be substantial and exacerbated by poor long-term decision-making by the U.S., Kopp said.
"As China wholly recapitalizes its fleets, and exports these products, there will be an inevitable strategic impact, as the U.S. has been reluctant to export the F-22, has chopped F-22 production funds, and has no new products in the pipeline capable of robustly surviving against top-end Chinese products in combat," he said.
Kopp also blames the reluctance by Washington to share high-technology weaponry with allies that could check China's advance.
He singles out Defense Secretary Robert Gates for making decisions that will produce "a dangerous long-term strategic environment in Asia as China introduces and proliferates advanced technology, and the U.S. chooses for ideological reasons to no longer invest in advanced air power."

RQ-4B Variant Makes Combat Debut Early


PARIS - For the second year in a row, Northrop Grumman officials found themselves at a global air show explaining why the Global Hawk UAV wasn't performing up to Pentagon expectations.
ARTIST'S CONCEPTION OF autonomous aerial refueling between RQ-4 Global Hawks planned for late summer or fall. (Northrop Grumman)
In the wake of a DoD test report that noted deficiencies in nine areas, Northrop's top Global Hawk salesman, Edward Walby, took to a chalet podium at Paris Air Show 2011 to give the company's side of the story.
"When you have a system designed by engineers, made by a manufacturer, tested by evaluators, and certified by administrators, then you put it in the hands of troops, you get an entirely different picture," Walby said.
He was referring to the Global Hawk's unexpected deployments in March - to Japan to support the post-tsunami relief efforts, and to Libya to help U.S. and NATO operations against government troops. The operations catapulted the latest RQ-4B model, the Block 30, into real-world operations, where the aircraft produced performances that looked much better than the IOT&E report, Walby said.
For example, the testers watched the RQ-4 fly 19 sorties over 41 days, with mission effectiveness of 57 percent. But in "March Madness," as Northrop dubbed the intense first month of Libya/Japan ops, the UAVs flew 114 sorties in 45 days with a 92.1 percent mission effectiveness, Walby said. (See Northrop's Global Hawk briefing slides.)
That's a level of performance far beyond the expected for an aircraft that hasn't reached its formal acceptance into service.
"We're not supposed to be doing that yet," he said.
What made the difference? One major thing was simply the passage of time, Walby said. The IOT&E testers looked at aircraft with the mid-2010 equipment and software builds. Since then, Northrop has fixed a leaky oil pump and improved the software in various ways.
One Block 10 aircraft was aloft a total of 379 hours in March - more than half of the hours in the month. Over Japan, two Global Hawks passed in the air, demonstrating the first on-station swap. The post-tsunami ops also saw the operation debut of the Block 30 Global Hawk, whose 3,000-pound payload includes electro-optical/infrared cameras, radar, moving-target indicators, and signals intelligence gear.
Next up for the suddenly hyperactive Global Hawk?
■ Block 30 is slated to be declared initially operational in July.
■ The first Euro Hawk, now finishing up testing at Edwards AFP, Calif., is slated to fly over to Germany later this summer.
■ Two Global Hawks are to attempt the world's first autonomous aerial refueling between UAVs in late summer or early autumn.

China's First Aircraft Carrier To Begin Sea Trials


HONG KONG - China's first aircraft carrier - a remodeled Soviet-era vessel - will go on sea trials next week, a report said June 21, amid escalating tensions in the South China Sea.
China's top military official reportedly confirmed earlier this month that Beijing is building a huge aircraft carrier, the first acknowledgement of the ship's existence from China's secretive defense program.

The sources said the test has been expedited in view of rising tensions in the South China Sea - home to two potentially oil-rich archipelagos, the Paracels and Spratlys - in recent weeks.
The Hong Kong Commercial Daily, which broke the story of the vessel's confirmation, quoted unnamed military sources saying the carrier will go on sea trials on July 1 but will not be officially launched until October 2012.
China's military "hopes it will show the strength of the Chinese maritime forces to deter other nations, which are eyeing the South China Sea, in order to calm tensions," the sources said.
They added that the sea trial date was also picked to celebrate the 90th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party but noted that factors such as weather could affect the planned test run.
China's military did not immediately respond to an AFP request for comment.
Tensions between Beijing and other rival claimants to the strategically vital South China Sea have heightened recently.
China has claimed mineral rights around the disputed Spratly Islands in the South China Sea and argued that foreign navies cannot sail through the area without Beijing's permission.
In September, Japan and China also clashed over the disputed Senkaku Islands, known as the Diaoyu Islands in China, located in the East China Sea.
But Chinese officials have previously said that its first aircraft carrier would not pose a threat to other nations, in accordance with Beijing's defensive military strategy.
The Chinese aircraft carrier plan was confirmed when the chief of the General Staff of the People's Liberation Army, Chen Bingde, confirmed the ship's existence in an interview with the Hong Kong paper.
He said the 990-foot former Soviet carrier, originally called the Varyag, was being overhauled. The ship is currently based in the northeast port of Dalian.
An expert on China's military has reportedly said the carrier would be used for training and as a model for a future indigenously-built ship.
The Varyag was originally built for the Soviet navy but construction was interrupted by the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991.
The PLA - the largest army in the world - is hugely secretive about its defense programs, which benefit from a large military budget boosted by the nation's runaway economic growth.

Romania Summons Iranian Envoy Over Missile Remarks


BUCHAREST - Iran's ambassador to Bucharest was summoned by Romanian authorities on June 20 to explain claims in an interview that U.S. plans to build a missile shield were directed at Russia.
"Bajador Aminian Jazi was summoned to the Foreign Affairs Ministry and asked for clarifications," a news release said. "The Romanian side stressed that such statements are not constructive. The system is a purely defensive one and cannot therefore be aimed against any country."
In an interview with HotNews website, the diplomat had said that Iran did not see the deployment of U.S. missile interceptors in Romania as a threat.
"We believe the anti-missile shield is not aimed against us. We don't have a nuclear program targeting any other country, our missiles are defensive only," he said.
However, he added, "you are importing Russian gas. I think that in the future, given also this anti-missile system, you will have some problems with them."
Jazi said this project dated back to 1984, when it was drawn up "to annihilate the Soviet Union's supremacy."
"Yes, [it is directed] against Russia," he added.
Bucharest and Washington last month concluded talks on the deployment of 24 U.S. missile interceptors at a former airbase in south Romania, insisting on the project's purely defensive purpose.
But Russia said it would seek legal guarantees that the shield was not directed against its strategic nuclear forces.

India Military Delegation Arrives in China


BEIJING - An Indian military delegation arrived in Beijing on June 19 for a six-day visit, an Indian official said, marking the resumption of defense ties that were frozen for a year over a visa dispute.
The eight-member delegation, headed by Maj. Gen. Gurmeet Singh, will visit the Chinese capital and the restive northwestern region of Xinjiang, a senior Indian defense official told AFP earlier.
A spokesman for the Indian embassy in Beijing confirmed the delegation arrived the afternoon of June 19 but could not provide details on their itinerary or with whom they would meet on the Chinese side.
India suspended military exchanges in July last year after Beijing refused to provide a proper stamped visa to the then head of India's Northern Army Command, which controls the region of Indian Kashmir.
China controls a sliver of Kashmir and regards the region, which is also split with Pakistan, as disputed territory. India has been angered by its practice of providing special stapled visas for visitors from Indian Kashmir.
"We decided to pause defense exchanges because of these differences of opinion," a second source in the Indian government told AFP previously on condition of anonymity.
"There were still phone calls and other contacts, but now with this visit we are seeing the resumption of normal, full-scale military exchanges," said the official.
Singh, the delegation chief, heads the Delta Force, part of a specialized anti-insurgency unit deployed in Kashmir.
Suspicion pervades relations between the two Asian giants amid border disputes over Kashmir and the northeastern Indian state of Arunachal Pradesh.
The two also fought a short war in 1962, while the presence in India of Tibet's exiled spiritual leader, the Dalai Lama, adds to the tension.
Media reports suggested that the decision to resume defense cooperation was reached during talks between Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and President Hu Jintao in China in April.

S. Korea Not Punishing Soldiers Who Shot at Plane


SEOUL - South Korea's military said on June 19 it will not punish soldiers who fired at a passenger jet flying from China, mistaking the aircraft for an enemy plane amid sea fog and high tensions with North Korea.
"Early-morning sea fog disrupted their vision... they did what they had been told to do based on military manuals," a Marine Corps spokesman told AFP.
"The action was partly caused by high tension with the North … we for now have no plan to punish them given there was no damage to the plane," he said.
Marines guarding the islands near the tense sea border with the North will be given extra training to distinguish between enemy planes and passenger jets, he said.
Two marines at a guard post on the South's Gyodong island near the disputed Yellow Sea border with the North fired 99 K-2 rifle rounds at the plane, which had 119 people on board, on June 17.
The jet, owned by Seoul-based Asiana Airlines, was descending towards the South's Incheon International Airport when the soldiers opened fire. There was no damage to the plane.
The Airbus 321 was following a normal route from the southwest Chinese city of Chengdu, the company said.
Ties between the two Koreas are at their lowest ebb in more than a decade after Pyongyang announced late last month it was breaking all contacts with the South's conservative government.
Seoul accuses Pyongyang of torpedoing a warship and killing 46 sailors in March 2010 - a charge the communist North angrily denies.
But Pyongyang went on to shell a frontier island off the west coast last November, leaving four South Koreans including two civilians dead.
Then, South Korea's defense minister Kim Kwan-Jin, smarting from criticism of what was seen as the military's feeble and slow response to the attack, told frontline troops to strike back in the event of provocation without waiting for orders from top commanders.
Tension further heightened after nine refugees from the impoverished North crossed the sea border by boat earlier this month to defect to the capitalist South. Seoul last week rejected Pyongyang's demand to return them.
Seoul's policy is to accept all North Koreans who wish to stay in the South, while repatriating those who stray across the sea border by accident.
The arrival in February of a boatload of North Koreans sparked weeks of acrimony. That boat drifted across the Yellow Sea border in thick fog, possibly accidentally.

Saturday, June 18, 2011

U.S. Senate Bill Requires Fixed-Price JSF Contract

The defense authorization bill passed by the U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee on June 16 requires a fixed-price contract for the next F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) buy, forcing the contractors to absorb any cost overruns.
The Pentagon plans to buy 32 JSF aircraft in 2012: 19 for the Air Force, seven for the Navy and six for the Marine Corps. (Senior Aiman Julianne Showalter / U.S. Air Force)
The Senate panel met throughout the week behind closed doors marking up the authorization bill for 2012. Details of the markup were released in a June 17 email from the committee.
"The bill contains a unique requirement that the low-rate initial procurement contract for the FY11 lot of the Joint Strike Fighter (LRIP-5) program must be a fixed-price contract and the contract must require the contractor to absorb 100 percent of costs above the target cost," the committee's statement said.
With lot 4, the Pentagon converted from a cost-plus, award-fee plan to a fixed-price, incentive-fee deal. It is negotiating the LRIP 5 buy with prime contractor Lockheed Martin.
If included in the final bill passed by both chambers, the Senate committee's amendment would make using a fixed-price contract legally binding.
The bill fully supports the Pentagon's budget request for procurement of the aircraft, allocating $3.2 billion for the Navy and $3.7 billion for Air Force's JSF buy. The Pentagon plans to buy 32 JSF aircraft in 2012: 19 for the Air Force, seven for the Navy and six for the Marine Corps.
The JSF program is under intense scrutiny by Pentagon leadership due to dramatic cost overruns and production delays. Defense Secretary Robert Gates put the Marine Corps variant on a two year-probation earlier this year.
A Defense Acquisition Board review that would have established a new cost baseline for the F-35 has been postponed until the fall, according to JSF program executive officer Vice Adm. David Venlet.
The review had been scheduled for late May, and then was rescheduled for mid-June.