Israel's Use of Unguided Munitions Raises Concerns Amid Conflict with Hamas

 In the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas in Gaza, a significant portion of the air-to-ground munitions used by Israel are reportedly unguided, referred to as "dumb bombs." According to an evaluation by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), approximately 40% to 45% of the 29,000 bombs dropped by the Israeli air force since October 7 were unguided, with the rest being precision-guided.

While Israeli officials have not commented on the specific munitions used, reports suggest the deployment of the US-made M117, a Cold War-era unguided 750-pound air-dropped munition. The use of unguided bombs, especially in densely populated areas like Gaza, raises concerns about potential collateral damage and questions about Israel's commitment to minimizing civilian casualties.

The revelation comes amid a public disagreement between the Israeli leadership and the White House. President Joe Biden criticized Israel's tactics, expressing concern over "indiscriminate bombing" and calling for a change in approach. This divergence in views has strained relations between the two allies, with Israel facing international condemnation at the United Nations, where a ceasefire resolution received overwhelming support.

The extensive use of unguided munitions could intensify controversy, particularly regarding civilian casualties. Critics doubt Israel's claims of minimizing harm to civilians, especially given the reported rates of employing unguided bombs. The situation is reminiscent of Russia's use of unguided bombs in the Ukraine war, where concerns were raised about increased civilian casualties.

In contrast to the US, which predominantly uses precision-guided munitions, the choice of unguided bombs by Israel raises questions about its military strategy, cost considerations, and potential implications for civilian safety in conflict zones.

GAO Urges Caution in Special Operations Command's Armed Overwatch Aircraft Acquisition

 

The Government Accountability Office (GAO) has advised the U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM) to reconsider its plan to procure 75 Armed Overwatch aircraft. The watchdog recommended a slowdown in the acquisition of the AT-802U Sky Warden, chosen for the Armed Overwatch program, until fiscal year 2025. GAO emphasized the need for a more comprehensive analysis of the fleet to justify the planned acquisition. The Armed Overwatch initiative aims to deploy versatile fixed-wing aircraft in austere locations, requiring minimal logistical support. SOCOM's selection of the Sky Warden, costing $2.2 billion through FY29, raised concerns about the fleet's size, with GAO suggesting a significantly smaller number based on force structure ratios and operational need estimates. The watchdog highlighted unproven assumptions in SOCOM's studies and the lack of consideration for changes in mission and force structure. GAO recommended a thorough analysis before further acquisitions, a suggestion partially agreed upon by the Defense Department, emphasizing the importance of assessing force structure needs for Armed Overwatch. SOCOM has purchased 16 Sky Wardens to date, with plans to increase the number to 28 by April 2024.

China's Strategic Moves in Latin America: Tank Offer to Colombia Raises Eyebrows

 Recent reports reveal China's attempt to extend its influence in Latin America by promoting its Main Battle Tank-3000 VT-4 to Colombia, a long-time ally of the United States. This move comes after the U.S. dissuaded Argentina from acquiring Chinese-made JF-17 fighter jets. As China seeks a stronger foothold in the region, the question looms: Will Colombia, one of the oldest U.S. allies, embrace China's military offerings?

In the aftermath of the pandemic, Colombia, feeling the absence of the U.S., became increasingly dependent on Chinese support, both financially and in terms of contractors for local job creation. China's prompt vaccine assistance during COVID-19 earned President Xi Jinping an invitation to address the Colombian people. This paved the way for an upgraded strategic partnership between China and Colombia in 2023.

China North Industries Corporation (Norinco), a major player in the Chinese defense industry, has presented a "bold proposal" to Colombia, offering its Main Battle Tank-3000 VT-4. This proposition is considered a significant milestone in military relations between the two nations and has the potential to reshape the dynamics of military power in the region.

Colombia has expressed interest in enhancing its armored capabilities, intending to create an armored brigade in the La Guajira region and replace its aging fleet of Brazilian armored vehicles. Norinco's live demonstration showcased a variety of military vehicles, including the VT-4, emphasizing its capabilities. The VT-4, a third-generation tank, is based on the Soviet-era T-72 tanks, designed for export with a focus on cost-effectiveness.

If the deal materializes, it could mark a significant turning point in the modernization of Colombia's armed forces, providing them with enhanced deterrent and combat capabilities. This move aligns with China's broader strategy to expand its influence in Latin America, as seen in its growing ties with other countries in the region.

While defense ties between Bogota and Beijing have been gradually strengthening, China has previously donated small military equipment to Colombia. By upgrading to a strategic partnership, China now enjoys strategic ties with ten out of the eleven Latin American countries, with Guyana being the exception.

China's recent pitch to Colombia follows its aggressive marketing of the JF-17 'Thunder' to Argentina. The U.S. State Department responded by offering F-16 fighters, signaling direct competition between Washington and Beijing for influence in the region. Argentina's approval to purchase 38 F-16 fighters, considered a geopolitical move, adds complexity to the U.S.-China rivalry in Latin America.

As China endeavors to expand its influence in Latin America, its military offerings to Colombia and the recent competition with the U.S. in Argentina underscore the evolving dynamics in the region. The decisions made by Colombia and other nations in response to these proposals will undoubtedly shape the geopolitical landscape in Latin America, setting the stage for continued strategic competition between China and the United States.

U.S. sees momentum on South China Sea code---------Defense News

WASHINGTON — The United States said on June 27 it saw momentum in talks between China and Southeast Asia on agreeing to a code of conduct to ease deep friction over competing claims in the South China Sea.
The South China Sea is likely to be high on the agenda when U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton heads next month to Cambodia for talks of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and regional powers including China.
Kurt Campbell, the U.S. assistant secretary of state for East Asia, said he understood that a draft proposal on a code of conduct was being discussed and that the United States expected to hear more details while in Cambodia.
“What we have seen of late has been an increase in diplomacy between ASEAN and China about aspects associated with a potential code of conduct,” Campbell told a conference at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
“I will say that we are frankly impressed with the level of focus that particularly ASEAN has given to this,” Campbell said.
Campbell did not give more details on the potential code of conduct and acknowledged that disputes over the South China Sea are “fraught with difficulty.”
“They spur nationalist sentiment across the region as a whole and it is extraordinarily important to deal with them with great delicacy,” he said.
ASEAN and China agreed in 2002 to negotiate a code of conduct. But there has been little visible progress, with a rising China preferring to negotiate with each country individually instead of dealing with a unified bloc.
ASEAN foreign ministers, meeting in April in Phnom Penh, said they hoped to narrow differences and sign a code of conduct with China by the end of the year.
The Philippines and Vietnam accuse China of aggressively asserting its claims in recent years, leading to minor clashes that diplomats and military commanders fear could quickly escalate into major conflicts.
The United States have recently expanded military relations with the Philippines and Vietnam, part of what President Barack Obama’s administration has cast as a growing U.S. focus on relations with Asia.
The details of the code of conduct remained murky. U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, speaking to the annual Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore on June 2, said the code should set a binding “rules-based framework” to prevent and manage disputes.
At the annual ASEAN talks in 2010 in Vietnam, Clinton said the United States had a “national interest” in open access to the South China Sea, through which half of the world’s trade flows.
Her statement generated a wide response in Asia, with Southeast Asian nations largely welcoming the remarks and stepping up cooperation with the United States but China accusing her of fanning tensions.
Campbell said Clinton was also looking to visit Laos. If confirmed, the trip would be the first by a U.S. secretary of state to Laos since the communist victory in 1975.
The United States established normal trade ties with Laos in 2004 and has been studying ways to clean up ordnance. The United States dropped millions of bombs on Laos during the Vietnam War to cut off Hanoi’s supply lines.
U.S. relations with Laos have remained uneasy largely due to concerns over treatment of the Hmong, a hill people who assisted U.S. forces during the Vietnam War and have reported persecution afterward.
One signature effort of the Obama administration has been reaching out to another long-isolated nation — Myanmar.
The country formerly known as Burma has undertaken dramatic reforms since last year including allowing elections in which opposition icon Aung San Suu Kyi won a seat in parliament.
U.S. senators said Wednesday that they expected soon to confirm Derek Mitchell as the first U.S. ambassador to Myanmar in more than 20 years.

Cartwright: China, S. Korea Need To Pressure North Korea---------Defense News

The United States should take a back seat to China and South Korea when it comes to applying pressure on North Korea, according to an influential, retired U.S. general.
“We could probably do a substantial amount of solving the problems of North Korea if we would let South Korea and China work the problem,” said retired Marine Corps Gen. James Cartwright, who retired last year as the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.
Cartwright’s comments came during a June 26 presentation at an event sponsored by Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory.
“Once you start to introduce commerce, risk equations change substantially,” he said, noting both China and South Korea have built roads and rail lines up to the North Korean border.
“But as long as we’re there, it looks like a wartime footing. We’ve just got to think our way through how to do this,” he said.
The U.S. has about 28,000 troops based on the Korean Peninsula.
Cartwright, who since his retirement has been outspoken on defense issues such as nuclear deterrence and cybersecurity, said the United States should partner with China to make sure nations in the region “are taken care of, that they have access to goods, that they can move their goods.”
“We’re better off solving these problems if we do so with China,” he said.
Cartwright said there needs to be an authoritative venue that could address nations’ claims of natural resources under the South China Sea.

Russia May Fly Military Cargo to Syria: Report------------Defense News

MOSCOW — Russia may decide to fly a controversial military cargo of helicopters and air defense systems to Syria after it abandoned an attempt to ship the material by sea, according to a June 27 report.
The West wants Russia to halt military cooperation with Syria because of the escalating conflict between the Damascus regime and rebels, but Moscow has insisted it cannot break contracts.
A freighter, the Alaed, docked in the Russian Arctic port of Murmansk over the weekend after turning back off the British coast. The ship halted its voyage to Syria to deliver the military cargo when its British insurer dropped coverage.
“The three Mi-25 helicopters and air defense systems could easily be delivered to Syria by air,” a military source, who was not identified, told the Interfax news agency.
“Russia has to fulfill its obligations. But everything will depend on if we can resist pressure from the West, who want us to break military cooperation with Syria,” the source said, adding a decision would be made soon.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov has confirmed the Alaed was carrying three attack helicopters Moscow had repaired for Damascus under a previous agreement.
He said last week the cargo also included air defense systems but gave no further details on the type or quantity on board.
Russia delivers a range of limited air defense systems to Syria but reportedly has refused to provide the more advanced S-300 technology that it had previously also failed to give to Iran under Western pressure.
The Vedomosti business daily reported June 26 that Russia this year chose to withhold the S-300 from Syria, despite a $105 million delivery contract being signed by the system’s producer and Damascus in 2011.
Military experts have speculated that the Alaed was carrying the more basic Russian Buk-M2e air defense systems for Syria, whose forces last week shot down a Turkish warplane off the Syrian coast.
In Murmansk, the Alaed’s flag has been changed to a Russian flag from that of the Caribbean island of Curacao.
But Russia has yet to confirm if the ship will now make a repeat attempt to reach the Syrian port of Tartus or travel on to Russia’s Far East port city of Vladivostok as originally planned.

U.S. Pays High Price for Pakistan Route Cut-Off: Admiral

WASHINGTON — Moving supplies to NATO troops in Afghanistan via Central Asia costs three times as much as routes through Pakistan, which Islamabad shut seven months ago in anger, a senior U.S. officer said June 27.
“On the ground, it’s almost three times more expensive to come from the north as it does from Pakistan. More expensive and slower,” said Vice Adm. Mark Harnitchek, director of the Defense Logistics Agency.
NATO now uses an alternative network of northern routes that pass through Russia, Central Asia and the Caucasus.
Transporting a container from the United States to Afghanistan costs about $20,000, he told a group of defense reporters.
But the cost of ferrying cargo to the Pakistani port of Karachi and then over roads to the Afghan border amounts to only a third of that price, he said.
Pakistan imposed a blockade on NATO supply convoys after 24 of its soldiers were killed by mistake in a U.S. air strike in November along the Afghan border.
U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said earlier this month that the Pakistan border closure costs the United States an additional $100 million a month.
Before the route cut-off, about 30 percent to 40 percent of the fuel used by coalition forces came through Pakistan.
Fuel is now transported over land via the northern routes, while food is flown in on cargo aircraft, he said.
“It was challenging initially and we took a bit of a dip there in terms of days of supply. But now our stocks of food and fuel have never been higher,” Harnitchek said.
The supply routes will be on the agenda when the commander of NATO-led forces in Afghanistan, General John Allen, meets his counterparts in Pakistan on June 27, officials said.
U.S. officials raised expectations in May that a deal was imminent with Pakistan on the reopening of the routes, but no announcement came and Washington withdrew its team of negotiators.
The United States has refused to issue a formal apology over the air strikes, despite appeals from Pakistan.
Amid continued deadlock, the Pentagon on June 27 expressed hope that a deal eventually could be reached on the supply routes.
“I think there is reason for optimism. I think we’re reaching a point in our relationship with Pakistan that suggests that things are settling down a bit,” spokesman George Little told reporters at a Pentagon briefing.
“I think the basis for some kind of agreement on the GLOCs (ground lines of communication) is there and is real and we hope that we reach a resolution,” he said.

Pakistan Responds to Indian Missile Test , Plans to Conduct Her Own

New Delhi: Just days after India successfully test fired its first Inter Continental Ballistic Missile (ICBM), Agni-V, Pakistan has said that it plans to conduct a long-range missile test.

The neighbour has informed India that it plans to conduct a long-range missile test in the Indian Ocean over the next five days.

Islamabad has asked New Delhi to issue a notice to all commercial airlines to steer clear of the area.

The move by Pakistan comes just five days after India test fired Agni-V to join the elite club of ICBM nations.

Agni-V, the ICBM test fired by India five days ago, is capable of carrying nuclear warheads and will be crucial for India's defence against China. The missile can carry a pay-load of 1 tonne, is 17 m long, 2 m wide and weighs 50 tonnes. After the missile is inducted into India's strategic forces by 2014-2015, India will acquire a strong deterrent capacity against China.

Agni-V can cover entire China, Eastern Europe, North Eastern and Eastern Africa and even Australia if fired from the Nicobar Islands.

Only the permanent members of the UN Security Council - China, Russia, France, the United States and the United Kingdom - have such long distance missiles. Israel, too, is believed to posses ICBMs although there is no official confirmation of the same.

The missile has a range of 5,000 kilometres, a marked improvement over India's current missiles which can hit potential enemy targets over a distance of just 3,500 kilometres.